Blackjack is one of the most popular casino games, famous for its combination of skill and luck. Unlike many other casino games where luck is the dominant factor, blackjack allows players to influence their odds of winning through proper strategy. However, no matter how proficient you are at blackjack, the house will always have an advantage.
This built-in advantage, called the “house edge” in blackjack, ensures that over time, the house will win more than it loses.
So what is the house edge in blackjack? And can you beat blackjack with the right strategy?
What is the house edge in blackjack?
The house edge in blackjack is the mathematical advantage the house has over the player. It represents the percentage of each bet that the casino expects to win in the long run. In most standard blackjack games, the house edge ranges from 0.5% to 2%, depending on the rules and the player’s strategy.
Unlike games like roulette or slot machines, which have a fixed house edge, blackjack allows players to reduce the house edge with smart decisions. The better you play, the less of a house edge you have.
How the House Maintains Its Edge
The casino gains an edge in blackjack through a few key rules:
1. The House Always Plays Last
The player must act first, meaning they can “bust” before the dealer hits a card. If the player loses, the dealer wins immediately, even if the dealer later busts. 2. The House Rules Are In Their Favor
The dealer must follow strict rules, such as hitting an extra card on a “soft 17” (depending on the casino). When the dealer is forced to hit on soft 17, the house edge increases. 3. Payout Differences
Standard blackjack pays 3:2, but some casinos pay only 6:5, which significantly increases the house edge and reduces your winnings. 4. Number of decks.
The more decks used in a game, the harder it is for players to keep track of the cards that have been played. Games using only one deck typically have a lower house edge than games using six or eight decks.
Can you reduce the house edge?
Although the dealer has an inherent advantage, players can still reduce the house edge by using the right strategies. Here’s how:
1. Play Basic Strategy
Basic blackjack strategy is the mathematically optimal way to play, guiding players on when to hit, stand, double, or split. Using basic strategy correctly can reduce the house edge to 0.5% or less, making blackjack one of the best-odds games in a casino.
2. Card Counting
Card counting is the technique of keeping track of the high and low cards in a deck. It was made famous by the movie “21,” based on the true story of a group of MIT students who used this method to win millions in Vegas.
You assign a value to each card you receive and keep a count of them.
- Low hand (2-6): +1
- Medium hand (7-9): 0
- High hand (10-Ace): -1
Since casinos often use multiple decks, you need to calculate your “true card count” by dividing the total number of decks you are counting by the number of decks remaining.
The higher your “true card count,” the better your chances of winning.
When done correctly, card counting can even turn the odds in the player’s favor.
Despite your confidence in your card counting skills, playing at a real casino exposes you to noise, bright lights, and other players. All of these factors make it difficult for players to maintain focus for long periods of time, making card counting a difficult technique to master.
In addition, casinos have strict measures in place to prevent card counters. Given these factors, most players have a hard time using this technique effectively.
3. Choose the right version of blackjack
Not all blackjack games are the same. The number of decks, house rules, and payout odds can all change the house edge. Look for games that:
Pay 3:2 on blackjack.
The dealer stands on soft 17.
Fewer decks (if possible)
4. Bankroll Management
Even with the best blackjack strategy, the game’s volatility means you’ll win and lose. Proper bankroll management will help you withstand losing streaks and play optimally over the long term.
Can you beat blackjack?
So, can you beat blackjack over the long term? The truth is, for most casual players, the house edge ensures that the house will win over the long term. However, skilled players who know how to use basic strategy, count cards, and choose the right version of the game can reduce the house edge enough to create an advantage.
For recreational players, the best approach is to minimize losses and maximize the experience by playing smart, following the best strategy, and avoiding unfavorable rules.